Andrew Mwenda Continues With His Thought Experiment

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In 1995, Uganda had a population of 21m people and was collecting Shs 527 billion in revenue, which when adjusted to inflation comes to Shs 3.2 trillion in 2017 prices

By Andrew M. Mwenda

  • Gedanken (Thought Experiment) 3

We continue with our thought experiment on the economic performance of Uganda under Museveni.

In 1995, Uganda had a population of 21m people and was collecting Shs 527 billion in revenue, which when adjusted to inflation comes to Shs 3.2 trillion in 2017 prices or Shs 151,000 per person.

Today, Uganda’s population is 38m people and government revenues are Shs 14.5 trillion, giving us public revenue per person of Shs 381,000. Is our country growing poorer?

  • Gedanken (Thought Experiment) 4

Today we look at the results of the National Housing and Population Census of 2014 in our thought experiment on whether Ugandans are growing richer or poorer.

In 1991, houses whose walls were built out of permanent materials were only 12%. In 2002, they were 26.1%. In 2014, they had reached 43.7%.

Houses with roofs built using permanent materials were 40% in 1991, 56% in 2002 and 70% in 2014. Finally the percentage of Ugandans lived in houses with rammed earth floor were 77.4% in 2002.

In 2014, this had fallen to 32.4%. What does this show: that economic growth has benefited a few or has been widely shared?

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